For yesterday’s PART I of my Spring Training Research Spectacular, click HERE.. For Part II, read on...Day Two of Mission Arizona was spent traveling to and staring at the vast, breathtaking image that is the Grand Canyon. If you haven’t set eyes on the GC (that’s what cool people like me call it), here’s what I’ll say...
You will encounter very few things in life that make you feel as if you’re living in a dream. Things that render you incapable of looking anywhere else. Things that, no matter how long you stare, will continue to appear completely and totally unreal. Personally, I can only think of two.
The first was when I purchased my wife’s engagement ring and held it for the first time. Not only did I feel like the richest sultan in all the land, I was also struck by just how REAL things just got. And that, in turn, felt very unreal, if that makes any sense at all. (In a good way, geeeeeeez. WOMAN, BE COOL.)
The second was Friday, when my First Lieutenant and I approached the Grand Canyon from the Southern Rim and took in our first glimpse. Surrounded by smelly hikers, families with strollers, and Asian teenagers with tiny cameras, we stood there in awe. It was one of those moments where, even though you know how it’s supposed to look, and even though you KNOW everyone said it would blow your mind, you never realized just how amazing it would be. For the next three hours, we got as many views as we could. But perhaps the single most memorable aspect was that, unlike most “Hey, I’m nearby so I better see this really famous building/monument/location” type of excursions, not once did we get bored. I do not shit you when I say that every moment spent looking at the Grand Canyon feels like a gift. It will mesmerize you.
The last thing I want is for this to start down the Annoying Personal Travel Blog path, but before I return to the business of baseball, a few more notes, should you ever decide to see God’s-Craziest-Creation for yourself...
Take the drive, and enjoy it. If you’re visiting Phoenix, your trip probably started with a really lengthy plane ride. And, once there, I’m sure your main goal will be to sit outside and soak up the beautiful weather that NEVER graces your home state of New York or Ohio or PA. I get that. But do yourself a favor and push past that urge, just for a day. The drive to the Grand Canyon from Phoenix is about four hours, but looking out the window you’ll see everything from mountains to desert to palm trees. Along the way, you can stop at Montezuma’s Castle and Sedona, two natural wonders that serve as appetizers for the 227-mile filet. Don’t overthink it, just do it.
Visiting the Grand Canyon is for everyone; hiking down is not. One nice thing about last week’s pilgrimage was that Jen completely embraced the role of travel agent. Everything from driving directions to restaurant reviews to hotel reservations were printed out and stored in a color-coded binder, making it that much easier for me to focus on more important tasks like buying Twizzlers and shouting “Go Reds” at retirees. So, I wasn’t surprised to find out Jen had already mapped out a detailed strike plan for the Grand Canyon, complete with day passes, trail maps, and the recommended assortment of rations. However, neither of us were prepared for the “conditions” on the hike down. Now, I understand that putting up railings everywhere in the Grand Canyon would be kind of like trying to carpet the moon. But still, when you’re walking down a steep ravine, hugging the ICY cliff and trying not to look at the 7,000-foot abyss, I think it’s only natural to contemplate just jumping, just to see how it feels. Maybe I’m the only one who gets those sadistic thoughts. Either way though, elderly people were taking this hike. Eight year-olds were jogging it. I’m still amazed we didn’t see at least two people plummet.
And finally, avoid doing what we did, which was load up on “street meat” tacos, refried beans, and Mexican beer, moments before we began our treacherous mountain-goat walk. Not only is there nowhere to relieve yourself on the way down, but trust me when I say you won’t need any added incentive to stagger around and/or poop yourself.
* * *
Saturday was another early morning, but for a completely different reason.
See, when we attended our first game at Goodyear Park Thursday evening, we saw all of about THREE tailgaters in the parking lot as we walked in. Now, don’t get me wrong: we had a fabulous time that night and I’m glad I had my wits about me. However, as we walked in and saw those three old dudes sitting shirtless in lawn chairs, drinking tall-cool-Budweisers, we both looked at each other and silently agreed that “DAMMMMMMMN that looks good.”
So, we set up shop Saturday morning. Since we were only tailgating for two (and since we were kind of pulling the whole operation out of our butts) our setup was, shall we say, less than complex. A morning Wal-Mart run ensured that we had the essentials (beer, chips, disposable cooler), but our base camp was severely lacking in other areas. Namely, we had nowhere to sit, being that the trunk of our rental car was the size of a VCR. Also, we soon realized that the tempest Goodyear winds made tossing our new Nerf football about as fun as playing flashlight tag during the day. Undeterred, we spent the next two hours pounding six beers each, finishing a bag of Salt n’ Vinegar chips, and yelling at all the damn Giants fans as they filed into the stadium. The highlight, undoubtedly, was getting one old lady to look back and yell “you wish!” (the most aggressive behavior we witnessed the whole time). The lowlight was finding out via text that the Reds had lost their closer, Ryan Madson, for the year. As far as offseason acquisitions go, the Madson pick-up was huge, so all I could do was this.
Overall, Saturday’s ballpark experience was similar to Thursday’s. The main difference was my lady-friend and I were half in the bag this time, making it harder to remember how many strikes there were and easier to badger Brandon Phillips into signing our hat. Reds starter Homer Bailey got hammered that day, and the Reds’ bats slept until about the seventh inning. Still, like the seasoned amateur scout I pretend to be, I took advantage of my ridiculously good view and dug into the baseball minutia. Between Thursday’s orientation and Saturday’s tipsy skull-session, I was able to compile a full report. You can hand in your ESPN Insider passes now, baseball fans, it’s all here...
1) Juan Francisco is fat. And when I say fat, I don’t mean husky, or stocky, or well-built. He’s fat, with a capital huge. I wasn’t surprised to hear he had put on weight in the offseason, but it was still shocking to see a dude that big and know he gets paid to be athletic. Francisco came into camp with a gimpy ankle, which makes perfect sense now. If I was carrying around a refrigerator all day, I’m pretty sure my joints would be sore too. Seriously, Juan, release the African Child.
2) It’s Jay Bruce’s year. People have speculated about Jay Bruce’s ceiling over the last few years, when he’s hit in the mid-.200’s and gone through maddening slumps. And up until now, I’ve led that charge. However, seeing him play in person (after shedding 15-20 pounds), I’m going to go on record and say this is the year he truly breaks out. In the only game I saw him in (he didn’t play Saturday) he had two doubles, and looked to be in a serious zone. He’s swinging free and easy, not getting fooled by pitches, and just generally enjoying himself. 35-40 homers, 130 RBI, a .280 average, and some MVP votes could happen. A Gold Glove will happen.
3) I’m worried about the rotation. THERE, I SAID IT. I know Spring Training numbers are supposed to basically be ignored, but I only semi-buy that. Especially when four of our five starters (Cueto, Arroyo, Leake, Bailey) have 5.00+ ERA’s. Oddly, the only one I’m not worried about is Arroyo, but that’s probably because deep inside I just don’t expect much out of him to begin with. Our saving grace looked to be Matt Latos, who’s now sidelined with a strained calf. If Aroldis Chapman can’t slide into the 5-hole (and with the injuries in the bullpen, it looks like management will be tempted to leave him there) I think the rotation has the potential to REALLY disappoint.
4) Zack Cozart will get Rookie of the Year consideration. Cozart, to me, looked like the real deal. He leads all Reds regulars in batting average (.413), and that’s in 46 at bats (third on the team). He’s done nothing to quell the notion that he’ll be a superlative shortstop, so if he hits at a decent clip and turns in the power/speed numbers we expect (18 homers, 20 steals?), he should give guys like teammate Devin Mesoraco and that cheese-stache in DC some serious competition.
5) Billy Hamilton could be terrifying. For those that don’t know, Billy Hamilton is one of the more highly-regarded Reds prospects in recent memory. Mainly, (ok, COMPLETELY) because of his speed. Last season, he set a Cincinnati organization record with 103 stolen bases. The next guy in his league had 63. (And, as a point of comparison, a good base-stealer in the big leagues wracks up around 50 these days.) Hamilton, if he ever can learn to hit at a big league level, could be a Rickey Henderson-like terror on the base paths. I saw him in one at-bat last weekend (his only big league at-bat of the spring), and to the shock of absolutely no one, when he got base (via walk), he stole second. Despite the fact that he’s about 5’8, 140 pounds, and looks like he's wearing Barry Bonds' helmet, it’s safe to be excited about Billy Hamilton.
6) Left field looks bleak. I’ve supported Chris Heisey from the jump. Whenever Dusty Baker has played him over the last few years, he’s produced. So, when the Reds brought in veteran left fielder Ryan Ludwick this winter, I stood steadfast in Heisey’s corner, concerned that he’d be cornholed once again. Heisey needed to pass this spring’s test with flying colors in order to carve out a spot ahead of Ludwick. Instead, he’s done his best Ferris Bueller impression, barely even showing up. Luckily for him (and unfortunately for Reds fans), Ryan Ludwick has absolutely failed as well, hitting .237, missing multiple days with the flu, and inexplicably taking the blame when Heisey stole Baker’s Porsche.
7) I am not as worried about the bullpen. Madson is injured. Nick Masset has arm issues and could miss a week or two. Chapman may make the rotation. These are all reasons to doubt the potency of our bullpen. Yet, for some reason, I don’t. Sean Marshall, Billy Bray, and Jose Arredondo have good enough stuff to close out games until Masset returns, and something tells me panic-mode will send Chapman to the pen anyway. Too much depth here to get worried just yet.
8) And, speaking of Chapman, I didn’t see him when we visited, but the injuries in the bullpen and ineffectiveness in the rotation all point to the Cuban Warlord being more of an X-Factor than we originally thought. He’s been lights out this spring (1.50 ERA, 12 K’s in 12 innings pitched), even as he stretches out in preparation to start. If he ends up in the rotation, he could immediately become the ace. If he stays in the ‘pen, he could morph into the closer. Either way Aroldis, now more than ever, needs to come up big.
9) Joey Votto will win the National League MVP. Last season, Votto’s numbers were down slightly, but that drop coincided with Scott Rolen being basically nonexistent. With Rolen completely healthy (he’s been performing really well this spring) and Bruce having a career year, expect Votto to pull in his second MVP. And, since Albert Pujols and Prince Fielder fled to the AL, a clean sweep at first base (MVP, Gold Glove, Silver Slugger) looks probable as well.
10) Prediction. It took a five-hour plane ride, two baseball games, twelve beers, and an icy sherpa-walk, but I came to a conclusion in Arizona. The Reds will win the division. Shocked? Don’t be, because it’s pretty simple. Cincinnati might not have the pitching that St. Louis (or even Milwaukee) does. However, with the recent injury (and unknown status) of Chris Carpenter, the Reds rotation won’t be far behind. That means, by all accounts, the Reds’ offense should be the difference. In 2012, I say Jay Bruce establishes himself as an elite talent. Scott Rolen, Brandon Phillips, and Zack Cozart will fill out a stacked lineup led by Joey Votto, who will continue to be Joey Votto. And Aroldis Chapman will be a difference-maker (finally), allowing the Reds to beat out the Cardinals in a late September push. This is my story, I’m sticking to it, and no amount of BBQ chimichangas will change my mind.
Reed Domer-Shank
JOURNEYMEN Founder and Chief Canyon Mule




